Glossary
Value betting vs arbitrage
Arbitrage locks a guaranteed-in-theory margin by covering all outcomes. Value betting takes prices that beat fair odds and profits over the long run.
Both rely on wide, normalised coverage with a sharp reference. The difference is risk profile and frequency: arbitrage is rarer and lower-variance, value more frequent and higher-variance.
Neither is guaranteed money. Arbitrage is constrained by limits and price movement, value by variance and account restrictions.
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